FTSE 350 pensions
Preparing for a transaction
As our previous analysis of the FTSE 350 defined benefit (DB) schemes has shown, these schemes have seen a substantial improvement in funding levels over the last year.
As our previous analysis of the FTSE 350 defined benefit (DB) schemes has shown, these schemes have seen a substantial improvement in funding levels over the last year.
We estimate that the average time to buyout reduced by around four years between the start of the year and the end of September for the FTSE 350 DB schemes. This is a consequence of the rapid increase in bond yields and widening credit spreads over the course of the year. Overall, this means that there will be a large number of schemes that are now very close to reaching their endgame target, if not achieved already.
In the below report, we review how this change in funding levels has shifted the feasibility of schemes accessing the risk transfer market, with a particular focus on bulk annuities and the emerging capital-backed consolidator market. We also provide a list of practical issues that trustees and companies should be considering if a transaction is being targeted in the short to medium term.
The impact of changes in financial markets over recent months has significantly reduced the cost of securing a bulk annuity contract with an insurance company. Schemes with lower hedging levels in their investment strategy will have been the main beneficiaries, as their liabilities will have fallen further then their asset values.
The chart below shows our estimate of the proportion of FTSE 350 schemes expected to achieve full funding on a buyout basis over time (comparing the position at the start of the year relative to the position at the end of September 2022). This assumes that deficit contributions continue at their current level.
Based on current expectations, this analysis suggests that around 52% of FTSE 350 DB schemes will be fully funded on a buyout basis within the next three years. This compares to the 23% expected at the start of the year, illustrating the significant acceleration in endgame timescales for most schemes.
All schemes should understand the impact on funding levels and any implications for future funding and investment strategy. This is particularly true for the cohort of schemes that now find themselves within touching distance of a buyout transaction, where this was previously a longer-term ambition. As an example, our calculations suggest that around 27 of the FTSE 350 DB schemes were over three years away from buyout at the start of the year but are now within one year of being fully funded on a buyout basis. These schemes should be urgently considering the steps that can be taken to lock into these gains and benefit from this unexpected opportunity.
Even for schemes where buyout is still some distance away, there may be a good rationale for closing the buyout deficit sooner if funding is available. In some cases, the cost of running the scheme until buyout is achieved may not be dissimilar from the size of the current buyout deficit.
Importantly, there is a significant difference between the affordability of a buyout transaction and readiness for a buyout transaction. With the bulk annuity market experiencing huge levels of demand, it is more important than ever to ensure that your scheme is positioned in the best possible way. At the end of this report, we provide a list of some of the practical points that should be considered when preparing for a transaction.
While a bulk annuity transaction is deemed to be the “gold standard”, it is not the only way in which employers can remove the responsibility and risk of DB pension provision. In some circumstances a transaction with a capital-backed consolidator (or superfund) might be an attractive or necessary option for companies and trustees, providing an opportunity to settle DB pension liabilities at a lower cost than a bulk annuity.
The Pensions Regulator’s superfund guidance confirms that a scheme that can buyout with an insurance company “within the foreseeable future” should not enter into a transaction with a superfund. The Pensions Regulator specifies that the “foreseeable future” will be specific to the employer’s circumstances, but generally we expect this to be a period within the next three to five years.
A scheme will therefore require a particular set of circumstances for a superfund transaction to be feasible. For example, it will need to be well enough funded, or have access to sufficient employer resources, to afford a superfund transaction, while at the same time still being some distance away from affording a buyout transaction (the “target zone”).
The significant improvement in funding levels over recent months will have shifted the pool of schemes that meet these criteria. While more schemes will now have sufficient funding to transact with a superfund, at the same time buyout funding levels have improved, ruling out some schemes on the basis that buyout is now achievable in the foreseeable future.
The chart below illustrates this shift in the target market for the superfunds. We have shown the number of FTSE 350 schemes in the target zone for the superfunds at the start of this year (based on a “foreseeable future” measure of three years), and how this has changed up to September 2022 as funding positions have improved.
This chart shows that there has been a reduction in the proportion of FTSE 350 schemes that could currently transfer to a superfund without a contribution from the sponsoring employer. This is primarily due to the significant improvement in buyout funding levels, which has increased the number of schemes that are expected to be able to afford a buyout transaction within the next three years.
The FTSE 350 schemes are a relatively small pool relative to the wider UK DB market, so this does not necessarily mean that the market for the capital-backed consolidators has reduced, and indeed there will be a wider group of schemes that may be able to transfer to a superfund via a contribution from the sponsoring employer. However, there has been a clear shift in the pool of schemes that would be eligible for a superfund transaction as funding levels have improved.
Trustees and companies should ensure that they are aware of all the risk transfer options available to them, and how the feasibility of the different options might evolve over time. The next section sets out some of the practical issues for trustees and companies to consider as they look to approach the DB pension risk transfer market.
Whether a scheme is targeting a buyout or capital-backed consolidator transaction, the actions that need to be taken are similar. Starting preparation early is essential to ensuring a smooth process, and demonstrating readiness should ultimately help to reduce the cost of the transaction.
Please contact the Barnett Waddingham risk transfer team if you are considering a transaction and would like to discuss the specifics of your scheme.
We have set out below a list of practical issues that trustees and companies should be considering if a transaction is expected to be feasible in the short to medium term.
Having a clear purpose and strategy will aid decision making, while having a robust governance structure will allow this strategy to be executed effectively.
The membership data should be of good quality when approaching the market and will need to be fully complete and accurate if the scheme subsequently transfers all of its liabilities to the risk transfer provider. Demonstrating to the risk transfer provider that your scheme’s membership data is of high quality will help your scheme stand out in a crowded market.
An accurate and complete benefit specification will need to be prepared by the scheme’s legal advisers to support the approach to the risk transfer market.
The scheme’s investment strategy will need to be considered in advance of a transaction to ensure that the liquidity and risk profile is consistent with the objectives of the trustees and the sponsor.
It may be preferable for liability management exercises to be undertaken before a transaction takes place. As well as potentially reducing the ultimate cost of the transaction, these exercises can provide members with options that may not be available to them once the transaction completes.
Our monthly index provides an estimate of the average time for UK pension schemes to reach a sufficient level of funding to buyout their liabilities with an insurance company.
Packed with case studies to help you navigate each confluence, takeaways to steer you on the right course and videos to guide your DB pension scheme strategically through the choppy waters of endgame planning.
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