How the DB End Gauge index is calculated

DB End Gauge is calculated using publicly available data collected from the annual accounts of the FTSE 350 companies. As such, it covers around 160 companies with DB pension arrangements and is calculated as the average of the estimated time to reach buyout funding for each scheme.

In calculating the time to reach buyout funding for each scheme, we have made a number of assumptions using the available information. Liability values on a buyout basis have been estimated by approximately updating the results shown in the annual accounts using Barnett Waddingham’s view of current average buyout pricing.

Asset values have been estimated using index returns and the asset split disclosed in the pension disclosures. The current level of deficit contributions have been estimated based on information set out in the pension disclosures and these are assumed to continue until buyout funding is reached.

The calculations make no allowance for buyout market capacity constraints and assume that each scheme’s data and benefit documentation are transaction ready at the point that buyout funding is reached.

Choosing the best endgame strategy

Over the last few years, corporate sponsors of UK defined benefit (DB) pension schemes have been grappling to determine the best strategy for their schemes. The Pensions Regulator’s new code on scheme funding, expected in October 2023, will increase the focus on schemes’ long-term objectives and link this to the shorter-term funding strategy.

There are several options for the long-term objective:

• running the scheme off within acceptable risk and cost parameters;
• a consolidator transaction; or
• an insurance company buyout.

For most sponsors, an endgame that gets the scheme off its balance sheet, with appropriate benefit security for members, is the ideal solution – but it is also the most expensive solution due to the cost of transferring all risks to a third party. Sponsors seeking such an endgame will need to think carefully about the journey to get there, ensuring that cost and risk are managed within acceptable levels along the way.

Helping you decide on an appropriate endgame

Our DB Navigator framework enables us to help scheme sponsors decide on an appropriate endgame and journey plan that balances the needs of the various stakeholders (shareholders, trustees, etc) and integrates the scheme strategy with the wider corporate strategy. Put yourself on the right course today.